The Mysterious Mind of McCain
By Crispin Sartwell
The mind of John McCain can be a mystery. After opposing the
Bush administration on matters of fundamental principle - including the
administration's peculiar, persistent enthusiasm for torture - McCain is
portraying himself at the moment as the administration's greatest, almost only,
friend.
During a southern Republican straw
poll in which the Bill Frist brought home the bacon, McCain suggested that
instead of voting for McCain, people should write in the name of George Bush.
This is extraordinarily perverse on a number of grounds, not least is that
without a constitutional amendment, Bush cannot be re-elected.
Not surprisingly, Bush/McCain
finished a distant fourth, behind Frist, Mitt Romney, and George Allen.
Meanwhile, the substantive support that McCain has recently lent to
Bush, for example on the Dubai deal, and his professed sympathy with South
Dakota's extreme anti-abortion law, have caused those who wanted to regard
McCain as a "maverick" or a "moderate" within the
Republican party to re-think their interpretation.
But anyone who regards McCain's recent rapprochement with the right as
mere strategy don't understand the man at all. McCain is a practical politician
of some skill and willingness to compromise. But he is also rebel against the
basic practices of politics. He is willfully contrarian, counter-consensus, as
a way of issuing a continuous critique of the slavishness of political leaders
to their own ambitions.
If
you think supporting the Dubai deal was the act of a calculating politician,
you haven't been watching all the other presidential candidates. Democrats
hopped all over the thing, having suddenly squared anti-Arab xenophobia with
their beautiful liberal ideals. Republicans - including Frist - took one look
at the polling on Dubai and on Bush and with visible pleasure "distanced
themselves" from the administration.
It is characteristic of McCain that as the polls drop for Bush, he
rallies round; if Bus's approval rating was 76 rather than 36, McCain would be
creating a drumbeat of criticism. In the current situation, that would be
redundant.
Now of course, McCain's task in positioning himself for the nomination
is the reverse of Frist's: McCain must reach back right while Frist softens his
conservatism.
But McCain is the only politician in America who daily courts political
suicide. His positions, and possibly his strategy, are counter-strategic.
McCain has also supported Bush on Iraq, but with critical and constructive
engagement. His argument that we should have doubled the force in Iraq early on
- and his probable scepticism of Bush's hints of a rapid pullout now - are
responsible positions. If McCain had presided over this war, it would have been
infinitely expensive, but it would have ended in something like success.
And he would have stirred us to support it; he is a prodigiously gifted
and sincere advocate of his ideas.
Anyone who thinks McCain's position on abortion is politically calculated
has not listened to him over the course of his career; his concerns about
abortion have always been principled. People who are strongly pro-choice will
not be happy on that score with a McCain administration.
But he does not use the issue strategically, or only uses it
counter-strategically. In 2000, he intentionally alienated the Christian right
forever by articulating a clear constitutional understanding of the relation of
religion and politics.
If
advocacy of abortion rights is criterial for the status of "GOP
maverick," McCain doesn't count. What you've got to understand is that
McCain is a maverick not in virtue of conforming his positions to your laundry
list, but in virtue of saying at any given juncture what needs to be said. What
needs to be said is whatever runs against the blank yapping consensus of this
moment.
However, I still think it extremely unlikely that the Republicans will
nominate McCain. Bush will anoint a successor. It might be Condoleezza Rice,
Jeb Bush, or even Bill Frist, but it will not be John McCain.
As I try to enter into the mysterious mind of McCain, he's always just
about to realize that running for president as an independent is the right move
for his temperament and the right move for the country.
John McCain can call himself a Republican, but most Republicans won't;
he will always already be an independent.
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